We provide real-time recs, you make bets. Using the same example above, if you think -130 is the proper probabilities for the Eagles to win and the opposite has odds of +110, we can determine the Agreement No Vig Chances"-- also known as the cost that sportsbooks would certainly supply if they weren't taking a cut.
While +EV bets will not always win, they must mathematically profit in the long run if you constantly bet them. To genuinely recognize favorable EV betting, you initially need to recognize implied chance. In this instance, your anticipated value is 50% as you'll win $1.50 ($2 x 0.75 + $0 x 0.25) with time.
Anticipated worth (positive ev betting tool free reddit) is how much your bet is anticipated to return, generally shown as a portion or return on investment (ROI). ROI: The anticipated lasting return on investment based on the +EV wager probabilities and the consensus no vig chances. For instance, if you use the exact same weighted coin above and call tails each time, you may shed your first two coin turns, however in time you'll turn a profit as the results will begin assembling to tails winning 75% of the time.
As an example, on a standard 2-way wager with both sides having -110 odds, your anticipated value is -4.55% or a loss of $4.55 on a $100 bet. While you won't typically discover 50% ROI bank on online sportsbooks, it's feasible to find Return of investments varying from 1% to 10%+ rather often.